Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 19.445109 23.415322 27.781986 32.913737 38.751187 45.156618 52.687688
2025-10-12 13.918721 19.185490 25.566596 33.744579 43.817261 55.686250 70.587863
2025-10-19 10.720787 16.487456 24.027284 34.340835 47.793511 64.449288 86.303869
2025-10-26 8.695818 14.718928 23.123754 35.254308 51.817337 73.126391 102.036988
2025-11-02 6.841734 12.741818 21.513900 34.831351 53.793396 79.042121 114.318647
2025-11-09 5.586156 11.377719 20.503378 34.994461 56.390826 85.724705 127.726177
2025-11-16 4.529861 10.097554 19.387581 34.789041 58.316814 91.450662 139.959674
2025-11-23 3.570286 8.762285 17.958152 33.883445 59.045664 95.419984 149.822584
2025-11-30 3.098899 8.233817 17.777498 34.882498 62.620993 103.524331 165.689862
2025-12-07 2.502894 7.309111 16.757281 34.364878 63.759346 108.062835 176.582250
2025-12-14 2.115013 6.733619 16.279759 34.685757 66.186647 114.550555 190.450715
2025-12-21 1.601169 5.716938 14.793836 33.062286 65.304568 115.935979 196.809557
2025-12-28 1.399150 5.449774 14.822003 34.277745 69.372276 125.359162 215.887434
2026-01-04 1.189343 5.101616 14.636271 35.088852 72.830242 134.028295 234.229770
2026-01-11 1.000109 4.745395 14.369595 35.700406 75.951482 142.259742 252.146514
2026-01-18 0.859621 4.488694 14.282531 36.641501 79.682024 151.583263 272.006445
2026-01-25 0.675477 4.001877 13.560313 36.205674 80.881705 156.798070 285.585198
2026-02-01 0.550582 3.669657 13.155054 36.373746 83.167908 163.855421 302.238277
2026-02-08 0.435199 3.309814 12.605812 36.162075 84.704091 169.679387 317.055263
2026-02-15 0.322543 2.881816 11.777223 35.228822 84.779872 172.992361 327.884609
2026-02-22 0.278356 2.764923 11.812440 36.258377 88.707279 183.035027 349.901954
2026-03-01 0.209806 2.456153 11.208885 35.724979 89.501511 187.639858 363.097786
2026-03-08 0.169310 2.280132 10.978856 36.055645 92.031191 195.355977 381.614665